According to UPI's state-tracking poll would be a slim victory of 292 to 246 in the Electoral College, and by 2.5 points in the popular vote.
Overall, Trump is up 49.38 percent to 46.89 percent.
The Los Angeles Times poll meanwhile has it Trump 46.6 percent, Hillary 42.6 percent this morning.
From UPI's state-tracking poll story:
Without counting battleground states, where Trump or Clinton have less than a 5-point lead, the candidates are tied in the Electoral College at 191. Including Electoral College votes from swing states, Trump would win the election with 292 electoral college votes to Clinton's 246.
The biggest shifts favoring Republicans this week came in Idaho, where Trump picked up an additional 1.6 percent percent of the vote and Clinton lost 1.1 percent. Trump now leads there by 30.4 percent. In Mississippi, he gained 1.5 percent and Clinton lost 0.9 percent. Trump now leads there by 16.8 percent.
Among swing states, the margin between Trump and Clinton narrowed the most in Colorado, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Trump now has a 4.5-point lead in North Carolina and a 3.1-point lead in Pennsylvania, while Clinton has a 1.6-point lead in Colorado.Pennsylvania is a must win for Hillary because the last Democrat to win without Pennsylvania was Harry Truman.
UPI has Trump ahead in every state Romney took, plus Iowa, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.
Oh, and remember those reports of Utah flipping Democrat?
Utah has now taken West Virginia's place as the Trumpiest state in the union. He leads there 66.6 to 28.2, his highest share and his largest lead. Sigh.
***
My new book, "Trump the Press," is a fun read that details how the experts missed the rise of Trump. Read the reviews in the right column.
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